Picking the Indianapolis 500 winner is
a thankless task.
There are too
many variables that come up over 500 miles.
I’ve seen solid favorites swept out of the race, getting involved in
heartbreaking shunts not of their making. I’ve seen
drivers luck into victory, but their likeness looks just as shiny on the
Borg-Warner Trophy presented to the race winner.
What to make
of this year? Again, any one of a dozen
or more could win it all.
Yes, in my
mind, it’s likely that the winner will come out of the first three rows. Unless he doesn’t.
The first nine
starters are loaded with talent and are piloting swift rides.
You have to
like 2008 champ and 2017 pole position winner Scott Dixon. He routinely does well at Indianapolis , and he rarely makes a
mistake. And yet, with a couple of
breaks here and there, he could have been a four-time winner as I write this.
He’s won only
once. That should tell you how difficult
it is to make your way first to the checkered flag.
What is
obvious to me is that Honda was holding a lot back before showing its cards at
Indy over the past weekend. Prior to
May, the betting money was on the Chevrolet power plants, which seemed brimming
with power … certainly more than the Hondas were showing.
So much for
that wisdom. Honda dominated the weekend
speed charts, which means that defending champion Alexander Rossi, Marco
Andretti and even perpetual hard-luck driver Takuma Sato could take the big prize.
It would not
surprise me if Fernando Alonso, the two-time Formula One champion and 2017 Indy
500 rookie, won the race. He has mad
skills, has taken to the blindingly fast 2.5-mile oval like a champ and has a Honda
engine at his back.
Dark horse:
Watch out for Ryan Hunter-Reay in his Andretti Autosport Honda. He starts 10th and by all rights
should have been in the “fast nine” running for the pole. Circumstances held him up there, but on race day,
I see him hustling to the front in a hurry.
He’s very good on this track.
Among the
Chevys, Indy veteran Ed Carpenter stands with Dixon as a logical co-favorite. Carpenter is an oval master and an
Indianapolis Motor Speedway genius. Bad breaks have denied him the Borg-Warner
Trophy before. Is it his time? Could be.
For what it’s
worth, I’m picking 2013 Indy 500 winner Tony Kanaan to win it again this year. Driving a fast Honda, Kanaan chose a
different qualifying set-up from Dixon ,
and it cost him some speed. In race trim, however,
Kanaan is likely to be on equal footing with Dixon .
Like I said,
it’s very hard to go against Dixon ,
but if it comes down to a 10-lap shootout between him and Kanaan at the end, I
think Kanaan’s aggressive, go-for-broke driving style gives TK the edge.
More winner’s
milk for Tony? I’m betting on it.
A menu of Mark Glover’s
AutoGlo car reviews can be seen on the Business page of The Sacramento Bee’s
website – www.sacbee.com/news/business/article4005306.html
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