There are
young guns aplenty in the first three rows of the 33-car field that will take
the green flag Sunday in the 100th running of the Indianapolis 500, but I strongly suspect that
a prospective winner is lurking in the middle of the pack.
That has been
the way of Indy of late. A high starting
position is no guarantee of drinking the winner’s milk when the grind is done.
And yet, there
is highly capable talent up front.
Relatively
youthful pilots whose names are not familiar to folks who follow IndyCar
on a casual basis could become household names by the time the checkered
flag falls.
American Josef
Newgarden, 25, has shown speed all month in his Chevrolet. He came within an eye-blink of winning the
pole position last weekend.
Colombian
Carlos Munoz, all of 24, darn near won this race as a raw rookie in 2013, when
he was just edged out by mega-popular victor Tony Kanaan.
Twenty-nine-year-old
Moscow native
Mikhail Aleshin seems like a veteran of the new guard, but he has traveled a
rocky road to get his shot at glory from the No. 7 starting position.
And then
there’s James Hinchcliffe, the 29-year-old Canadian, who put his Honda on the
pole a year after nearly bleeding out in his car after a brutal crash into
Indy’s barely-forgiving outside wall.
Hinchcliffe claiming the pole is the comeback story of 2015. He’s completely capable of upping it a notch
on Sunday.
Truth be told,
any one of 20 drivers could win.
Seriously. This is ultra-high-speed
motorsport, and yes, it is Indy.
Anything can happen. A million
variables are in play. A serious
favorite can be taken out by a small mistake not of his/her making.
Looking well
back in the starting field should give Hinchcliffe and the young guns plenty of reason to
worry.
Scott Dixon,
the 2008 winner, will likely have his new engine and chassis tuned to
perfection by Sunday. He goes off
13th. Next to him is Marco Andretti, who
came within a few hundred feet of winning back in 2006 and has a handful of
top-fives at Indy since then.
Starting
positions No. 17 and No. 18 are occupied by two-time winner Juan Pablo Montoya
and Kanaan, respectively. I’m betting that they will be running
near the front 50 laps into the 200-lap race.
How
unpredictable are things? Could, say, 24-year-old Northern California native Alexander
Rossi win it as a series newcomer and Indy 500 rookie? Absolutely, he could. His Honda has been fast all month. Starting from the No. 11 position, he needs
to stay clean and let things happen to other cars. If that pans out, he has a chance.
As do another
dozen or so drivers, given similar situations.
Who wins it?
I’m aging and
sentimental, so I’m picking three-time race winner Helio Castroneves to claim his
record-tying fourth victory in this 100th running of the world-famous race. He starts ninth. He has a fast car. He drives for Roger Penske. And he knows precisely how to win this
race. Enough said.
My dark horse
pick is 32-year-old Frenchman Simon Pagenaud, if you can call an exceptionally
talented driver who has won the last three Verizon IndyCar Series races a dark
horse pick. Pagenaud came within one bad
break of contending for the win in 2015.
The Chevy driver, starting eighth in a Penske-prepared Chevrolet, is on a serious roll.
And I hear that he likes a swig of milk after a long race.
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